The First Domino: How Claims Become Catastrophes

Nobody who files a workers’ compensation claim expects it to become a catastrophe. Yet every day, a strained back becomes surgery, a minor sprain becomes disability, and a routine claim becomes a six-figure reserve.

Over the years, I’ve come to believe that many of these situations can be explained by a concept increasingly discussed in healthcare as the “medical cascade.” The idea is simple. One event triggers another. One decision leads to the next. A seemingly reasonable intervention creates an unintended consequence, which prompts another intervention, which creates another consequence. Eventually, everyone responds to the cascade rather than addressing the original problem.

Work comp and healthcare sometimes rewards activity more than outcomes. Yet the most effective intervention is not always another intervention. Sometimes it is reassurance. Sometimes it is education. Sometimes it is listening. Sometimes it is helping someone understand that their recovery is progressing exactly as expected.

The challenge is that cascades rarely look reckless when they begin. Each step usually appears reasonable when viewed independently. A physician orders another diagnostic test “just to be safe.” A medication is prescribed to address symptoms. A specialist referral is made because nobody wants to overlook an important finding. An employer seeks clarification. An adjuster asks additional questions. An attorney becomes involved to protect someone’s interests. None of those actions are inherently problematic. Collectively, however, they can create momentum that becomes increasingly difficult to stop.

The most obvious example is what I would call a medical cascade. An injured worker experiences pain after an injury and receives a prescription medication. The medication creates side effects. Additional medications are prescribed to address those side effects, which creates an increasingly complicated cocktail. Activity levels decline. Physical deconditioning begins. Sleep is disrupted. Recovery slows. The worker becomes frustrated. New symptoms emerge. Additional testing is ordered. Before long, the treatment plan is focused on managing the consequences of treatment rather than the injury that started the process.

The original condition may have improved months ago. The cascade has not.

But some of the most damaging cascades in workers’ compensation have little to do with medicine.

Consider the communication cascade. An injured worker reports an injury and enters a system they know very little about. They are worried about their health, income, job security, and future. If expectations are not established early, assumptions quickly fill the void. Questions go unanswered. Anxiety grows. Trust begins to erode.

What started as an information problem gradually becomes a relationship problem, which has a way of becoming a claim problem.

Communication is one of the most powerful interventions available in workers’ compensation. Not because communication solves medical conditions, but because it influences how people experience those conditions. A worker who understands what is happening is less likely to assume the worst. A worker who feels heard is less likely to become adversarial. A worker who trusts the process is more likely to participate in it.

Then there is the psychological cascade.

Consider what happens when a physician mentions “some degeneration” on an MRI without explaining that such findings are common in adults of any age. The worker goes home and searches the term. What they find frightens them. They begin protecting the injury, limiting movement, avoiding activity. Their function declines, not because the injury worsened but because their understanding of it did. The physician, seeing reduced progress, orders further evaluation. The cascade has begun, triggered not by pathology but by a single unexplained phrase.

Research has repeatedly demonstrated that expectations influence outcomes. People who believe they will recover often do better than those who believe they are broken. That does not mean positive thinking cures injuries. It means that beliefs influence behavior, and behavior influences recovery.

Words (verbal and non-verbal) matter, far more than many of us realize.

There is also a litigation cascade. An employee feels ignored. An attorney becomes involved. Communication channels narrow. Positions harden. Suspicion replaces collaboration. The focus gradually shifts away from recovery and toward conflict.

The injury itself has not changed. The environment surrounding the injury has.

What makes all these examples so challenging is that nobody wakes up intending to create a cascade. Physicians want to help. Employers want productive employees. Adjusters want accurate information. Attorneys want to protect their clients. Every stakeholder is generally trying to solve a problem.

The issue is not bad intentions. The issue is unintended consequences.

That is why one of the most important questions in workers’ compensation is also one of the simplest: “What are we trying to accomplish?”

Every test and specialty referral should have a purpose. Every medication should have a purpose. Every conversation should have a purpose. All those purposes should ultimately connect back to the same objective: helping the injured worker achieve the best and quickest possible recovery.

When we lose sight of that objective, the risk of a cascade increases dramatically.

At WorkCompCollege.com, we frequently discuss a workers’ recovery mindset because recovery is influenced by much more than medical treatment. It is influenced by trust, communication, expectations, relationships, purpose, and confidence. When those elements align, recovery often accelerates. When they are disrupted, the first domino begins to wobble.

The good news is that cascades can work in positive directions as well.

A thoughtful physician who explains a diagnosis clearly can change the trajectory of a claim. An employer who stays connected to an injured worker can reinforce purpose and belonging. An adjuster who takes the time to listen can build trust. A case manager who recognizes psychosocial barriers early can prevent them from becoming larger obstacles later. One positive interaction can create momentum just as surely as one negative interaction can.

The challenge for all of us is learning to recognize the first domino before the entire chain begins to fall.

Recognition requires curiosity by stepping back occasionally and asking whether the current plan still addresses the original problem. It requires the courage to ask a question that our industry does not ask often enough: “Are we still helping?” For example, if a claim is in its third month with no clear recovery trajectory, it may be time to ask yourself what the original problem was and is our current plan still addressing it.

The opportunity is not simply to manage the consequences once they appear. The opportunity is to recognize the first domino, understand where it may lead, and intentionally set it in a direction that supports recovery rather than undermines it.

That is how better outcomes happen. One decision, one interaction, and one domino at a time.